Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop

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Company makes 3rd cut to renewables service outlook this year

Company makes 3rd cut to renewables company outlook this year


Reduces both margin and volume outlook


Weaker diesel market hits biofuel prices


(Adds expert, background, detail in paragraphs 2-3, 9-11)


By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto


HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel company for the third time this year due to falling rates and likewise lowered its anticipated sales volumes, sending out the company's share cost down 10%.


Neste said a drop in the rate of routine diesel had actually affected what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input costs for waste and residue feedstock remained high.


A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce eco-friendly diesel has actually created a supply glut of low-emissions biofuels, hammering profit margins for refiners and threatening to hinder the nascent market.


Neste in a statement slashed the expected typical similar sales margin of its renewables unit to between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, down from $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well listed below the $600-$800 seen in February.


The business now likewise anticipates renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes instead of the 4.4 million it had actually predicted given that the start of the year, it added.


A part of the volume cut originated from the production of sustainable air travel fuel, of which it is now expected to sell in between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, below between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen previously, Neste stated.


"Renewable products' list prices have actually been negatively impacted by a considerable decline in (the) diesel rate during the third quarter," Neste stated in a declaration.


"At the very same time, waste and residue feedstock costs have actually not reduced and eco-friendly product market rate premiums have actually remained weak," the business added.


Industry executives and experts have said quickly expanding Chinese biodiesel manufacturers are looking for brand-new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have announced they are pausing expansion plans in Europe.


While the cut in Neste's guidance on sales volumes of sustainable aviation fuel came as a surprise, the unfavorable influence on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel rate was to be anticipated, Inderes analyst Petri Gostowski stated.


Neste's share rate had actually reversed some losses by 1037 GMT but stayed down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki; Editing by Terje Solsvik and Jan Harvey)

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